近50年安徽省暴雨气候特征
DOI:
作者:
作者单位:

作者简介:

通讯作者:

中图分类号:

基金项目:

中国气象局气象灾害风险区划试点建设项目子项目“安徽省洪涝灾害风险区划研究”资助


Climate Characteristics of Heavy Rainfall in Recent 50 Years over Anhui Province
Author:
Affiliation:

Fund Project:

  • 摘要
  • |
  • 图/表
  • |
  • 访问统计
  • |
  • 参考文献
  • |
  • 相似文献
  • |
  • 引证文献
  • |
  • 资源附件
  • |
  • 文章评论
    摘要:

    利用安徽省71个台站1961—2008年近50年的逐日降水资料,统计出每年各站暴雨量及暴雨次数,通过趋势分析、EOF分析、功率谱分析、小波分析、MannKendall突变检验等方法分析安徽省暴雨气候特征。结果表明:安徽省常年暴雨量呈纬向空间分布,常年暴雨次数与其分布非常一致,暴雨量及暴雨站次最多出现在6月下旬和7月上旬;全省绝大部分地区的暴雨量呈现上升趋势,上升幅度较大的地区集中在淮北西部及江南南部,但绝大部分地区未通过显著性检验;暴雨量距平场EOF第1模态全省一致为正,大值区位于安徽西南部,第2模态表明南北暴雨量呈现相反的分布,北多(少)南少(多),第3模态表明安徽暴雨量有南北多(少)中部少(多)的分布特征;暴雨量存在9~10年的主周期,此外还存在3年左右的次周期,在9~10年的时间尺度上,近50年安徽暴雨量经历了由多到少5个循环交替;在1978年前后暴雨量存在一次突变,1979—2008年年均暴雨量比1961—1978年年均值增加了583 mm。

    Abstract:

    By using the daily precipitation data from 71 stations in Anhui province from 1961 to 2008, the precipitation amount and frequency of annual heavy rainfall are calculated for every station, and then the climatic characteristics of heavy rainfall over Anhui Province are analyzed by such methods as trend analysis, EOF, power spectrum analysis, wavelet analysis, MannKendall test, and so on. The results show that the distribution of heavy rainfall from 1971 to 2000, in accordance with the distribution of the frequency, shows a latitudinal pattern; the high amount and frequency of heavy rainfall appeared mostly around the end of June and the beginning of July. The heavy rainfall in most parts of Anhui had an increase trend, with the highvalue areas in the western Huaibei and the southern Jiangnan regions. The values of first mode of EOF were positive in all the province, with high values in the southwest of Anhui. The second mode of EOF indicates that the distributions of heavy rainfall in the South and North are contrary, greater in the North and less in the south. The third mode of EOF indicates that heavy rainfall was greater in both South and North, and less in the central part. There were periodic variations with the main periods being 9 to 10 years and the secondary period of about 3 years. The heavy rainfall in recent 50 years in Anhui experienced five cycles in the 9 to 10 year time scale. There was a mutation around 1978, and the average rainfall from 1979 to 2008 is 583 mm higher than the average from 1961 to 1978.

    参考文献
    相似文献
    引证文献
引用本文

谢五三,田红.近50年安徽省暴雨气候特征[J].气象科技,2011,39(2):160~164

复制
分享
文章指标
  • 点击次数:
  • 下载次数:
  • HTML阅读次数:
  • 引用次数:
历史
  • 收稿日期:2010-01-06
  • 定稿日期:2010-02-20
  • 录用日期:
  • 在线发布日期:
  • 出版日期:
您是第位访问者     版权所有:气象科技编辑部    
主办单位:中国气象局气象探测中心,中国气象科学研究院,北京市气象局,国家卫星气象中心,国家气象信息中心
     地址:北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号       邮编:100081      电话 :010-68407256      传真:010-68407256
技术支持:北京勤云科技发展有限公司