Features and Prediction of Summer Precipitation in Guizhou Province
DOI:
CSTR:
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

P426.6 S823.8

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    Based on the monthly precipitation data of 52 observational stations in June, July and August from 1961 to 2000, the features of summer precipitation in Guizhou Province were analyzed by means of abrupt change analysis and wavelet analysis techniques. A prediction model was developed and the prediction experiment of summer precipitation in Guizhou Province was conducted with the mean generating function. The results indicate that summer precipitation in Guizhou increased obviously in recent 40 years and its inter-annual variation was remarkable with varying periods: 8-10, 4-6, 4, and 2 years. Abrupt change mainly occurred in 1971 and 1994, and precipitation began to decrease from l994. The result shows that the mean generating function has good prediction capability for short-range climate changes, especially for extreme precipitation events.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

张艳梅 江志红 王冀 韩艳凤.贵州地区夏季降水特征及其预测方法[J].气象科技英文版,2005,33(2):156-159.

Copy
Related Videos

Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:
  • Revised:August 16,2004
  • Adopted:
  • Online:
  • Published:
Article QR Code
You are thevisitors     Copyright:    
Organizer:中国气象局气象探测中心,中国气象科学研究院,北京市气象局,国家卫星气象中心,国家气象信息中心
     Address:北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号       E-mail:100081      Telephone :010-68407256      Fax:010-68407256
Supported by:Beijing E-Tiller Technology Development Co., Ltd.