Archive > Volume 37 Issue 1 > 2009,37(1):9-11 Prev Next

ShortRange Climate Prediction with Nested Regional Spectral Model for Wenzhou

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    Abstract:
    The NRSM (Nested Regional Spectral Model) of the NMC (National Meteorological Center) is used to conduct the shortrange climate prediction for Wenzhou during typhoon seasons (July, August, and September) from 1986 to 1995. The monthly and seasonal precipitation and monthly mean temperature during typhoon seasons in Wenzhou are predicted. Comparison is made between the simulated and the observed results, and it is found that the model performed well in extreme precipitation, July severe flood, and August and September severe drought prediction; the prediction accuracies of the model for drought/flood tendency are 50% to 70% during the typhoon season; and the capability of monthly mean temperature prediction is satisfactory. The model can be put to operational use.

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External LinksChina Meteorological AdministrationCMA Meteorological Observation CentreChinese Academy of Meteorological SciencesBeijing Meteorological ServiceNational Satellite Meteorological Center
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