Rainfall Threshold Analysis of Landslides in Red Bed Areas Based on Rainfall Intensity and Duration: Pu’er as an Example
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    Abstract:

    Pu’er is located in the southwest of Yunnan Province. Magma rocks are widely distributed. The geological structure of this area is not only complex, but also a typical red bed landslideprone area. The characteristics and the rainfall threshold curve of raininduced landslide disasters can be obtained by using the Caine threshold curve, rainfall intensity and duration, clustering analysis and other methods, by means of the data of rainfall and landslids from 2009 to 2014 over Pu’er, so as to provide a theoretical basis for the prediction and warning of rainfallinduced landslides in the red bed areas. The statistical analysis indicates: (1) The landslide hazards in the study area mainly focus on the Ailaoshan Mountain group, Wuliang Mountain group and Lancang Mountain group, and belong to the corresponding fault zones. (2) Landslide hazards account for 77.1% of the total, occurred most frequently from July to September. (3) Landslide hazards can be divided into the shortterm heavy rainfall type, midterm weak rainfall type and longterm weak rainfall type. The statistical analysis shows that there are 40 landslides without significant correlation with rainfall (0.7%). (4) Using the improved Caine model, it can be obtained that the rainfall threshold curves of landslides can be divided into four categories in the study area: I=85D-0.874, I=45D-0.811, I=27D-0.782, and I=12D-0.774. The minimum threshold is higher than the global threshold of Guzzetti, but lower than that of Caine, and the maximum threshold is higher than the threshold of landslides induced by typhoon rainfall in Fujian.

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王秀英,王朝明,廖留峰,陈卓,田奇灵,陈莹.基于降雨强度与历时的红层区滑坡降雨阈值分析——以普洱为例[J].气象科技英文版,2020,48(5):758-765.

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History
  • Received:July 21,2019
  • Revised:May 18,2020
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  • Online: October 26,2020
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