Distribution Characteristics and Forecast Diagnosis of Supercooled Water in Precipitating Stratiform Clouds in Shanxi Province
CSTR:
Author:
Affiliation:

Clc Number:

Fund Project:

  • Article
  • |
  • Figures
  • |
  • Metrics
  • |
  • Reference
  • |
  • Related
  • |
  • Cited by
  • |
  • Materials
  • |
  • Comments
    Abstract:

    Supercooled water is a crucial parameter for assessing the potential for weather modification in stratiform clouds. Utilising data from 32 aircrafts detected by the Airborne Meteorological Detection Device from 2017 to 2022, we conduct a statistical analysis of the altitude characteristics where supercooled water is present, along with temperature, humidity, vertical wind speed, and other atmospheric parameters. We also examine the variation of supercooled water content in relation to these environmental factors. Based on these findings, we develop a diagnostic forecasting method for supercooled water content in clouds over the Shanxi region. The study reveals the following insights: (1) The supercooled water content obtained by the Airborne Meteorological Detection Device shows good agreement with the liquid water content detected by the Cloud Particle Probe (when the temperature is below 0 ℃, the liquid water content detected by the CDP is the supercooled water content), which indicates that both instruments are better at detecting the supercooled water content in the cloud. (2) The supercooled water content predominantly ranges from 0.06 to 0.22 g·m-3, with an average value of 0.18 g·m-3. Its probability density function (PDF) exhibits a distinct single-peaked normal skewed distribution, and the cumulative distribution function (CDF) growth rate decreases as the supercooled water content increases. (3) The supercooled water region is predominantly found between 3589 and 4667 metres, approximately 1011 to 2316 metres above the 0 ℃ isotherm. The temperature range is from -8.52 ℃ to -3.52 ℃, humidity levels vary between 86.68% and 100%, and the supercooled water area is predominantly influenced by updrafts. (4) The supercooled water content tends to increase with decreasing altitude from the 0 ℃ isotherm, rising temperature, increasing relative humidity, and stronger updrafts within the clouds. (5) The relationships between the content of supercooled water and various factors such as temperature, relative humidity, altitude above the 0 ℃ isotherm, and vertical wind speed are determined through polynomial fitting. The analysis reveals that the inversion magnitude is substantial when the supercooled water content is low, and conversely, it is minimal when the content is high. However, when considering the overall distribution, there is a distinct positive correlation between the two variables. The retrieval results for six cases outside the statistical sample suggest that some supercooled water is also forecasted during periods when it is actually detected, with the trends of the two being largely consistent and accuracies exceeding 65%. However, the forecasted values are slightly higher than the observed values. This diagnostic method for forecasting supercooled water can, to a certain extent, qualitatively assess the magnitude of supercooled water content under specific conditions, locate areas rich in supercooled water, and offer guidance for the scientific advancement of artificial weather modification operations.

    Reference
    Related
    Cited by
Get Citation

杨晓,孙鸿娉,李培仁,杨俊梅,郝奎.山西地区降水性层状云中过冷水的分布特征及诊断预报[J].气象科技英文版,2025,53(2):247-258.

Copy
Related Videos

Share
Article Metrics
  • Abstract:
  • PDF:
  • HTML:
  • Cited by:
History
  • Received:May 20,2024
  • Revised:November 15,2024
  • Adopted:
  • Online: April 21,2025
  • Published:
Article QR Code
You are thevisitors     Copyright:    
Organizer:中国气象局气象探测中心,中国气象科学研究院,北京市气象局,国家卫星气象中心,国家气象信息中心
     Address:北京市海淀区中关村南大街46号       E-mail:100081      Telephone :010-68407256      Fax:010-68407256
Supported by:Beijing E-Tiller Technology Development Co., Ltd.